Determine OS X keyboard layout ("input source") in the terminal/a script?

I would like to determine the OS X keyboard layout (or "input source" as OS X calls it) from the terminal so that I can show it in places like the tmux status bar.

So I want to know if the current layout is "U.S." or "Swedish - Pro" for example.

Googling turns up nothing for me. Is this possible?

Note: @MarkSetchell deserves credit for coming up with the fundamental approach - where to [start to] look and what tools to use. After further investigation and back and forth in the comments I thought I'd summarize the solution (as of OS X 10.9.1):

do shell script "defaults read ~/Library/Preferences/com.apple.HIToolbox.plist \\
 AppleSelectedInputSources | \\
 egrep -w 'KeyboardLayout Name' | sed -E 's/^.+ = \"?([^\"]+)\"?;$/\\1/'"

^{Note how \ is escaped as \\ for the benefit of AppleScript, which ensures that just \ reaches the shell. If you want to execute the same command directly from the shell (as one line), it would be:
defaults read ~/Library/Preferences/com.apple.HIToolbox.plist AppleSelectedInputSources | egrep -w 'KeyboardLayout Name' |sed -E 's/^.+ = \"?([^\"]+)\"?;$/\1/'}

• The currently selected keyboard layout is stored in the user-level file ~/Library/Preferences/com.apple.HIToolbox.plist, top-level key AppleSelectedInputSources, subkey KeyboardLayout Name.
• defaults read ensures that the current settings are read (sadly, as of OSX 10.9, the otherwise superior /usr/libexec/PlistBuddy sees only a cached version, which may be out of sync).
• Since defaults read cannot return an individual key's value, the value of interest must be extracted via egrep and sed - one caveat there is that defaults read conditionally uses double quotes around key names and string values, depending on whether they are a single word (without punctuation) or not.

Update:

Turns out that AppleScript itself can parse property lists, but it's a bit like pulling teeth. Also, incredibly, the potentially-not-fully-current-values problem also affects AppleScript's parsing.

Below is an AppleScript handler that gets the current keyboard layout; it uses a do shell script-based workaround to ensure that the plist file is current, but otherwise uses AppleScript's property-list features, via the Property List Suite of application System Events.

Note: Obviously, the above shell-based approach is much shorter in this case, but the code below demonstrates general techniques for working with property lists.

# Example call.
set activeKbdLayout to my getActiveKeyboardLayout() # ->, e.g., "U.S."

on getActiveKeyboardLayout()
  
  # Surprisingly, using POSIX-style paths (even with '~') works with 
  # the `property list file` type.
  set plistPath to "~/Library/Preferences/com.apple.HIToolbox.plist"
  
  # !! First, ensure that the plist cache is flushed and that the
  # !! *.plist file contains the current value; simply executing
  # !! `default read` against the file - even with a dummy
  # !! key - does that.
  try
    do shell script "defaults read " & plistPath & " dummy"
  end try
  
  tell application "System Events"
    
    repeat with pli in property list items of ¬
      property list item "AppleSelectedInputSources" of ¬
      property list file plistPath
      # Look for (first) entry with key "KeyboardLayout Name" and return
      # its value.
      # Note: Not all entries may have a 'KeyboardLayout Name' key, 
      # so we must ignore errors.
      try
        return value of property list item "KeyboardLayout Name" of pli
      end try
    end repeat
    
  end tell
end getActiveKeyboardLayout